Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032864 0.035844 0.038840 0.042070 0.045449 0.048873 0.052601
2026-01-11 0.028575 0.033016 0.037619 0.042724 0.048205 0.053893 0.060221
2026-01-18 0.025093 0.030604 0.036480 0.043160 0.050491 0.058246 0.067026
2026-01-25 0.020977 0.027100 0.033823 0.041656 0.050439 0.059899 0.070781
2026-02-01 0.018184 0.024806 0.032278 0.041176 0.051337 0.062451 0.075402
2026-02-08 0.016014 0.023027 0.031148 0.041014 0.052466 0.065157 0.080112
2026-02-15 0.014876 0.022365 0.031224 0.042161 0.055019 0.069414 0.086520
2026-02-22 0.013772 0.021639 0.031141 0.043052 0.057222 0.073234 0.092405
2026-03-01 0.012597 0.020723 0.030749 0.043508 0.058864 0.076370 0.097482
2026-03-08 0.011447 0.019746 0.030207 0.043721 0.060169 0.079079 0.102040
2026-03-15 0.010756 0.019321 0.030315 0.044692 0.062349 0.082788 0.107735
2026-03-22 0.009418 0.017909 0.029083 0.043939 0.062401 0.083960 0.110457
2026-03-29 0.008528 0.017085 0.028598 0.044127 0.063622 0.086556 0.114902
2026-04-05 0.007890 0.016576 0.028500 0.044784 0.065407 0.089818 0.120136
2026-04-12 0.007230 0.015982 0.028251 0.045223 0.066906 0.092732 0.124960
2026-04-19 0.005982 0.014369 0.026525 0.043674 0.065877 0.092568 0.126110
2026-04-26 0.005188 0.013397 0.025634 0.043178 0.066133 0.093931 0.129052
2026-05-03 0.004566 0.012646 0.025015 0.043011 0.066780 0.095749 0.132527
2026-05-10 0.004355 0.012590 0.025397 0.044188 0.069145 0.099674 0.138535
2026-05-17 0.004094 0.012417 0.025592 0.045103 0.071166 0.103174 0.144035
2026-05-24 0.003745 0.012050 0.025473 0.045571 0.072601 0.105945 0.148652
2026-05-31 0.003369 0.011589 0.025188 0.045789 0.073698 0.108291 0.152749
2026-06-07 0.003190 0.011498 0.025463 0.046787 0.075812 0.111901 0.158386